This weekend, we have a 13-fight card in Kansas on ESPN+. DraftKings has some strong contests considering that is a free card and I look forward to pursuing the GPPs. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that match. I won my first seat into it a couple weeks back and I will try to receive my 2nd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, and then I will probably take a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Yana Kunitskaya — $8,900
There actually aren’t any cash game guards this week for me personally but I went with Yana since I fully expect this battle to go all 3 rounds so that I enjoy the ground she brings to the table. I also think she wins the battle and I think she will be the fighter heading for takedowns. I don’t know how large her ceiling is but in cash games it doesn’t really matter too much because we don’t have to strike 1st place in a double-up. I’d expect about 10x from Yana in a decision win and I will take that all day in my money games.
GPP play of the week — Louis Smolka — $8,300
Smolka fights often score highly as there are a great deal of scrambles and all the grappling advances really add up. I expect this is a very fun battle, but it ought to be Smolka that is the one going for the takedowns. I’m always looking for a minimum of 10x from my fighters and at $8.3k I would be amazed if Smolka didn’t get that with a triumph. The lowest he has ever scored in a win is 99 DK points and he has even scored 162 vs Nguyen and he’s got a 61-point loss to Elliott that is more DK points than Schnell’s triumph over Beltran. I love Smolka as a GPP drama here and if he wins I’d anticipate near 100 DK points.
Drama of this week — Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos — $8,000
For a struggle that I hope to remain standing, I have quite a bit of interest in this fight. I believe it will be an action-packed fight and I think somebody gets knocked out. This is also the mid-range struggle of the week, so I feel a KO from either guy would have a good opportunity to set them on the perfect lineup. I like it more because I’m choosing the underdog to get the knockout and that I expect Millender to function as higher owned fighter. I will have this struggle in over half my lineups, but I shall most likely have at least double the ownership on dos Santos over Millender. I think it’s a better GPP struggle than it is for money games, but I think dos Santos is in play for money since he’s an underdog and I have him winning. I don’t feel confident in several underdogs this week, but I will have a good amount of exposure to dos Santos.
Fade of this week — Anthony Rocco Martin ($9,200)
At $9.2K. Martin will need a finish at the salary and I really don’t see that occurring. When he wins a clear 30-27 decision, he then likely scores mid 70’s and at his price tag which won’t win anybody a GPP. I really don’t believe he moves for takedowns in this matchup and I think he uses his wrestling to help keep the fight standing. Even if he does go for takedowns then I don’t see him submitting Moraes. So, it has to be a KO out of him to cover off that wages and I am not inclined to take that risk with my cash. That’s why he is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I am 61-37 to get +209.69 (+$20,969) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

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